Atlantic Council: Three possible futures for a frozen conflict in Ukraine

2022-05-26 | Scenario building, Expert publications

By Mathew Burrows and Robert A. Manning. It’s the war that was both eminently predictable and roundly unpredicted. If ever there has been a conflict that underscored the urgent need in the policy world for strategic foresight, it’s the one currently raging in Ukraine. For months our foresight experts have been projecting how the war could break out and, once it did, how it could unfold next. In this latest installment, Mathew Burrows and Robert Manning revisit their April forecasts in light of the conflict’s trajectory ever since.


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