Expert publications

Bruegel: European Union grain imports from Ukraine: the right decision and a cynical rebellion

By Marek Dabrowski.  On 15 September, the European Commission allowed a temporary ban on Ukrainian grain imports (maize, wheat, rapeseed and sunflower seed) to expire....

Implementation progress of European Commission recommendations

Ukraine’s Government Office for Coordination on European and Euro-Atlantic Integration: Implementation progress of European Commission recommendations Originally published on the European Integration portal: https://eu-ua.kmu.gov.ua/en

Ukrainian Centre for European Policy and Konrad Adenauer Foundation: A Realistic Path towards Ukraine’s Accession to the EU

Executive Summary For any new candidate aspiring to join the EU nowadays, the options are not plentiful, and the path is rocky – certainly if...

U4U discussion: Ukraine’s NATO Membership: a way to a sustainable peace on the European continent

United for Ukraine Network (U4U) organized an online panel discussion in view of the upcoming Vilnius NATO Summit “Ukraine’s NATO Membership: a way to a...

U4U discussion: consequences of the Kakhovka Dam destruction by Russia

On 29 June United for Ukraine Network (U4U) organized a discussion on the consequences of the Kakhovka Dam destruction by Russia / exchange of views...

Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation commentary: Decoding Prigozhin’s rebellion

By Petro Burkovskyi. The Wagner Group’s armed rebellion has displayed little evidence of being a successful challenge to Putin’s regime, but it has created a strong argument...

CEPA commentary: The Beginning of the End of Russia’s War on Ukraine

By Kurt Volker. With Russian forces fighting each other – no matter what Yevgeny Prigozhin says about continuing the war – it will be clear...

Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation commentary: What is needed is for Russia to withdraw, not a ‘de-escalation on both sides’

By Olexiy Haran. The visit of African leaders to Ukraine and Russia is an important step that shows the African continent is trying to play...

GLOBSEC. Walking on Fire: Demining in Ukraine

Find the full report here.  Executive Summary About 30% of Ukraine’s territory (174 000 sq.km) has been exposed to intense combat operations. This area requires...

CEPA: Grey Zones are Green Lights – Bring Ukraine Into NATO

By Kurt Volker. A fresh commitment to Ukraine’s NATO membership will shorten this war and prevent the next. NATO must go beyond its previous, empty...

Razumkov Centre: On the results of expert and public opinion polls regarding overcoming economic problems

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn.  This policy paper examines the results of three surveys: an expert poll and two public opinion polls, which were held by the...

Razumkov Centre: About (economic) solidarity of “fraternal nations”

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn.  Imposition of sanctions on Russia (to reduce its ability to continue and expand aggression) was an important component of the economic policy...

Eastern Circles and Ukrainian Prism: Wagner as tool of Russian geopolitical strategy: lessons from Ukraine

By Régis Genté, Rodolphe Oberle, Hennadiy Maksak, Yan St-Pierre, Anastasiya Shapochkina.  Wagner has gained increasing media attention in the last months due to its growing...

The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: Envisioning a Long-Term Security Arrangement for Ukraine

By Eric CIARAMELLA. The moment has arrived for Western leaders to offer a practical vision for Ukraine’s long-term security. This paper lays out a detailed...

Anne-Marie Pelletier: The Pope in Hungary: The Perils of Pacifism

During his recent trip to Hungary, Pope Francis was undoubtedly bold to remind Viktor Orban, to his face, that his immigration policy could not be...

SCEEUS: Accelerating Ukraine’s Economic Recovery

By Amb. Kurt Volker. Grow Ukraine’s Economy Now The time for action to accelerate Ukraine’s economic recovery is now. Ukraine’s economic reconstruction and recovery must...

Association for International Affairs. Building Ukraine Back Better: The Role of Czechia and the EU

Summary There is a consensus among Ukrainian stakeholders that the post-war  reconstruction must be both a platform for modernising the country along the lines of...

GMF: Toward a Marshall Plan for Ukraine. New Ideas and Recommendations

Executive Summary Emergency assistance for Ukraine was and is a necessity dictated by Russia’s war. Beginning with the London Recovery Conference in June 2023, the...

CEPA: Time to End Russia’s Black Sea Piracy

By Kurt Volker. Russia’s unilateral Black Sea blockade violates freedom of navigation, threatens global food supplies, and is costing Ukraine and the West billions. It...

Michael Emerson, CEPS: Tsar Nicholas I’s Crimean War and Putin’s in Ukraine – Plus ça change

With President Volodymyr Zelensky’s statement on 11 May that more time is needed before Ukraine’s long-awaited counteroffensive can begin, everyone is implicitly being invited also to...

Low Carbon Ukraine: Keeping the lights on in times of grid outages Solar PV panels, battery storage and diesel generators

By Dinara Saparova, Rouven Stubbe, Pavel Bilek. Russia’s attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure have caused significant electricity disruptions and outages. This policy briefing compares the...

SCEEUS: Ukraine’s Alarming Demographics

By Michael Emerson. The task of reconstruction and recovery of Ukraine so far is seeing most attention devoted to the economics of repairing physical capital...

IER: Ukrainian business in wartime (11th monthly enterprise survey, March 2023)

The monthly survey of enterprise managers is conducted by the Institute of Economic Research and Policy Consulting” (IED) as part of the project “For Fair...

International Working Group on Russian Sanctions: Action Plan 2.0 on Strengthening Sanctions Against the Russian Federation (Paper #11)

This paper – Action Plan 2.0 – outlines a roadmap for sanctions policy development and new actions in 2023. Similar to last year, we will...

UA NVO Institute for post-information society: Activity of Yevgeny Prigozhin and Wagner Group

Please find the link to the publication “Activity of Yevgeny Prigozhin and Wagner Group” shared with us by the UA NVO Institute for post-information society....

U4U discussion “Russian Nuclear Industry Sanctions”

United for Ukraine Network together with Eastern Circles, DiXi Group, Urgewald, Friends of the Earth Europe, and Stand with Ukraine NGOs organized a round-table on...

U4U Webinar: Putting Wagner Group on EU terrorist list

United for Ukraine Network (U4U) organized an online expert panel discussion “Putting Wagner Group on EU terrorist list”. The discussion took place on 18 April,...

UCEP: The Western Balkans’ Path to the EU: Lessons for Ukraine

The paper by Ukrainian Centre for European Policy describes the essence and the recent developments of the EU enlargement focusing on explanations of how the...

The Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting: Monthly Economic Monitoring for Ukraine, March 2023

The Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting has published the March 2023 Monthly Economic Monitoring for Ukraine. Key takeaways: In March 2023, according to...

Razumkov Centre: review of the expert poll “Problems of the energy sector and ways of their solution in wartime”

By Volodymyr Omelchenko. The expert poll was conducted by the Razumkov Centre Sociological Service on February 26 — March 15, 2023. Experts from think tanks,...

Roland Freudenstein: Russia’s war and the Global South – a way forward for the West

Since March 2022, there has been a recurrent phenomenon in the corridors of Brussels: Whenever Western Europeans feel cornered by Poles or Balts who criticize...

Razumkov Centre: PRC’s Great Game for Global Leadership: Historical Roots, Modern Tools, Future Consequences

By Volodymyr Omelchenko. A historical excursion into the foundations of China’s foreign policy In order to understand the modern foreign policy of the PRC, one...

Euroscope: Monitoring and Assessment of the EU-Ukraine AA implementation and EU acquis alignment progress, February – March

The EU-Ukraine Association Agreement (AA) implementation has intensified across all state institutions since June 17, 2022, when the European Commission recommended that the European Council...

Razumkov Centre: Economic aspects of the visit [of Xi’s visit to Moscow]

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. Of course, the Russian visit of the Chinese leader was mainly connected with the possible expansion of military support for the aggressor....

CEPS: EU Accession Prospects of Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia

Centre for European Policy Studies has published a report assessing the conditions set for Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia in response to their EU membership applications....

Presentation of the book “The Reconstruction, Reform, and Accession of Ukraine”

Together with a globally renowned economist and regional expert Dr Anders ASLUND, the coordinator of the U4U Network, Mr Andrius Kubilius, have published a book...

Book “The Reconstruction, Reform, and Accession of Ukraine”, co-authored by Dr. Anders Åslund and Andrius Kubilius

Dr. Anders Åslund is a senior fellow at the Stockholm Free World Forum and an Adjunct Professor at Georgetown University. He is a leading specialist on economic...

Doug Klain: op-ed “Don’t let Ukraine become just another partisan divide”

Americans support Ukraine. It was a fact long before Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine last year that support for the nation’s resistance against Kremlin aggression...

Razumkov Centre: How the world enters 2023: Economic prospects for Ukraine’s recovery

By Vasyl YURCHYSHYN, Director, Economic Programmes of the Razumkov Centre.  2022 in Ukraine will go down in history as a year of major trials and...

CASE: Economic priorities in post-war Ukraine

Lead Author – Dmytro Boyarchu, Executive Director CASE Ukraine. Over 30 years of independence, Ukraine has launched almost all of the necessary critical reforms to...

For their freedom and for ours: letter of support to approve opening accession negotiations with Ukraine before the end of June 2023

Initiative by U4U member Olivier Dupuis. The appeal by 140 leading European figures we publish today on The Lithuania Tribune seems particularly timely. It calls...

UNHRC: Report of the Independent International Commission of Inquiry on Ukraine

GENEVA/ VIENNA (16 March 2023) – Russian authorities have committed a wide range of violations of international human rights law and international humanitarian law in various...

CREA: Why Russia has strong incentives to keep supplying oil with a $30 price cap

By Meri Pukarinen, Europe-Russia policy officer at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air. Russia continues its atrocities in Ukraine, including targeting civilians...

Razumkov Centre: A powerful IPSO about destruction of Nord Stream 1 and 2 in the BLOWUP style

By Volodymyr Omelchenko. On March 7 and 8, 2023, one could see a powerful wave of reports in the leading Western media about the possible...

Just Security: Russia’s Forcible Transfers of Ukrainian Civilians: How Civil Society Aids Accountability and Justice

By Oleksandra Matviichuk, Natalia Arno and Jasmine D. Cameron. Since the start of the February 2022 illegal invasion of Ukraine by Russia, countless heinous war...

U4U, NGO Ukrainian Prism Europe and SCEES discussion “Prospects for European Defense Industries against the Backdrop of the Russian War in Ukraine”

On 6 March the United for Ukraine Network, NGO Ukrainian Prism Europe, Stockholm Center for Eastern European Studies organized a discussion “Prospects for European Defense Industries...

Dr. M. Chepeliev, Dr. O. Diachuk, Dr. R. Podolets, A. Semeniuk: Can Ukraine go “green” on the post-war recovery path?

Dr. Maksym Chepeliev is a senior research economist at the Center for Global Trade Analysis at Purdue University. Before joining Purdue, he was a research...

International Partnership for Human Rights: International Partnership for Human Rights

A new report, released by International Partnership for Human Rights and the Independent Anti-Corruption Commission, has found that western-made dual-use components have continued to reach Russia long after its...

GLOBSEC: How to beat Russia? What armed forces in NATO should learn from Ukraine’s homeland defense

By Nico Lange, Prof. Carlo Masala, General Pavel Macko. Russia continues its war of aggression against Ukraine, yet its forces are already defeated. Against the...

Razumkov Centre: Ukraine: from war to peace and recovery. Analytical assessments

The publication presents the results of monitoring, analysis and expert evaluations of the most important actions and decisions of the Ukrainian authorities, international partners of...

Razumkov Centre: Ukraine: from war to peace and recovery. Analytical assessments

Razumkov Centre has started publishing a new edition — a monthly analytical review “Ukraine: from war to peace and recovery. Analytical assessments”. The publication on...

Razumkov Centre: Political and ideological orientations of Ukrainian citizens in the conditions of the Russian aggression

The war has changed Ukraine. In the future, these changes will determine the situation in the country and its development. So, even now, while the...

Razumkov Centre: Ukraine on the Road to the EU: Realities and Prospects (Project Summary)

The Ukrainian experience of European integration in the conditions of war is unique. The country resisting the large-scale armed Russian aggression, suffering huge human, financial...

CSIS: Enabling an Economic Transformation of Ukraine

By Conor M. Savoy and Janina Staguhn. Experience has shown that countries should begin planning for the postwar period before the end of a war....

U4U discussion: EU sanctions on Russian fossil fuels: strengthening enforcement and closing loopholes

United for Ukraine Network (U4U) organized an expert panel discussion on “EU sanctions on Russian fossil fuels: strengthening enforcement and closing loopholes”. The discussion took...

Razumkov Centre: On priorities in industry

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. At the beginning of February, the State Statistics Service released another batch of information, the publication of which was postponed due to...

France 24: podcast episode with experts “Zelensky on tour: Is Europe ready for the next phase of Ukraine war?”

Guests of the podcast: Samantha DE BENDERN, Associate Fellow, Chatham House Maria ZOLKINA, Head of Regional Security and Conflict Studies, Democratic Initiatives Foundation Georges KUZMANOVIC, President of...

Razumkov Centre: Transformations in the balance of current operations

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. According to the NBU, in 2022 Ukraine had a positive balance of current operations in the balance of payments with a record...

Olivier Dupuis: Ukraine and the need to overcome European illusions

There are persistent untruths, such as the one according to which a revision of the Treaties would suddenly become indispensable with the forthcoming enlargement of...

SCEEUS: On the Future of the EU’s Approach to Eastern Europe

By Pavel Havlicek. Awarding candidacy status to Ukraine and Moldova in June 2022 provided new impetus to the EU’s eastern policy but also created new...

Razumkov Centre: Russian-Ukrainian war: developments and prospects: Summary of the Analytical report

With its aggression upon Ukraine and ultimatum-like demands on NATO and the West in general, Russia has once again demonstrated its historic aggressiveness against the...

Razumkov Centre: Ukraine’s Recovery: Starting Point and Directions of Government Action, Abridged report

In its reconstruction and recovery, Ukraine cannot wait until the end of the war, which, according to many experts, may last for years. Therefore, any...

SCEEUS: The Reconstruction Process in Ukraine

By Hugues Mingarelli. In order to mitigate the suffering of the Ukrainian people, it is imperative that the Ukrainian authorities and international partners put in place...

RazomWeStand NGO: Putin’s aggression is the last call to end global fossil fuel addiction – opinion

By Svitlana Romanko, Jason Kirkpatrick. Let us compare Europe in 2022 and 2023. According to official data for 2021, Europe was 45% dependent on imported Russian...

Razumkov Centre Sociological Service Poll “Politician of the year 2022”

Results of the public opinion poll conducted by the Razumkov Centre Sociological Service on December 21, 2022 – January 3, 2023. Answering the question “Which...

Foreign Affairs: Russia’s Crime and Punishment: How to Prosecute the Illegal War in Ukraine

By Oona A. Hathaway. As the conflict in Ukraine is about to enter its second year, Ukraine and the West are accelerating efforts to ensure...

Prof. Olexiy Haran and Petro Burkovskyi: Fighting for Freedom: Ukrainian Assessment of the Implications of the Russian Invasion for South Asia

By Prof. Olexiy Haran (Kyiv Mohyla University) and Petro Burkovskyi i (Executive Director, Democratic Initiatives Foundation, Kyiv). Since the 2000s, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s policy towards...

Razumkov Centre: On comparison of company performances

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. With the beginning of the Russian aggression, the State Statistics Service practically stopped providing official statistical reports, which was quite justified, including...

Razumkov Center: On comparison of company performances

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. With the beginning of the Russian aggression, the State Statistics Service practically stopped providing official statistical reports, which was quite justified, including...

Ilko Kucheriv Foundation and the Razumkov Center: The results of the survey in the macro-regions of Ukraine

The results of the survey in the macro-regions of Ukraine, conducted by the Ilko Kucheriv Foundation “Democratic Initiatives” together with the sociological service of the...

Razumkov Center: War and church. Church and religious situation in Ukraine 2022 (Information materials)

Razumkov Centre permanently monitors the church and religious situation in Ukraine, including sociological monitoring of the state and trends of religious commitment in Ukrainian society,...

Razumkov Centre: How underwater pipelines helped defeat Hitlerism

By Maksym Bielawski. The victory over fascism in the World War II was achieved, among other things, thanks to the second front in Normandy. Many...

Razumkov Centre: One option of quick recovery of Ukrainian power distribution grids

By Maksym Bielawski. Mobile compressor stations enhance functionality of gas pipelines and make it possible not to vent large volumes of blue fuel into the atmosphere...

Razumkov Centre: Thoughts of a dead man

By Mykhailo Mischenko. Analysts debate if there is anything that can change the public opinion in Russia about the so-called “special military operation” (which Putin...

Razumkov Centre: Echo of a crisis

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. Over the past three years, Ukraine has faced two deep socio-economic crises. The “sources” of these crises are different: the crisis of...

FT: Arm Ukraine and Russia will be forced to review its war aims

By Prof. Olexiy Haran and Petro Burkovskyi. As Ukrainian scholars, who stayed in the country to continue research, including on the topic of social resilience...

Olivier Dupuis: Europe struggles to face a new reality

By Olivier Dupuis. Nine months after the start of the new Russian offensive in Ukraine, many citizens of old Europe still find it hard to...

CEPS and SCEEUS: The $300 Billion Question

By Micahel Emerson and Steven Blockmans. As the scale of Russia’s destruction of Ukrainian infrastructure increases by the day, the issue on how reconstruction is...

Kristi Raik: Don’t Be Afraid of a Russian Collapse

Kristi Raik for the Foreign Policy. In August 1991, then-U.S. President George H.W. Bush was in Kyiv to counsel Ukrainians against statehood. Only weeks before Ukraine...

Carnegie: Ukraine Needs a Financial Lifeline, Too

By Oleksandra Betliy. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has prompted unprecedented levels of military assistance from the West. But Ukraine needs more than weapons: it needs a...

Razumkov Centre: On household resources II

Households always tend to save money, especially at a time of war and great losses. Today, it should be admitted that the national banking system...

ICDS: Building European Security Against Russia – A View from Estonia

By Kristi Raik and Martin Hurt. The future trajectory of Western-Russian relations will depend on domestic developments in Russia. In the foreseeable future, Russia is...

GLOBSEC: Strategic Responsibility: How a stronger EU in a reinforced alliance can make security on our continent more sustainable

Alena Kudzko and Roland Freudenstein. Russia’s aggression against Ukraine has proven NATO’s existential value and has set the parameters regarding what must be done to...

Razumkov Centre: Economic features of autumn 2022

On November 24, 2022, it will be 9 months of full-scale Russian aggression. Ukraine lost thousands of lives, hundreds of cities and villages were destroyed,...

SCEEUS: Next Steps for EU Enlargement – Forwards or Backwards?

By Michael Emerson and Steven Blockmans. The EU’s present enlargement process, once applauded as the EU’s most successful foreign policy, is not working well. With...

Razumkov Centre: Role of RES for manoeuvrability of Ukraine’s energy system in wartime

Renewable energy sources (RES) now play a key role for the EU energy system security ← the Dutch and German experience shows that under optimal...

Razumkov Centre: Signs of a new world order?

The issues of strategic choice, formation of a new world order (both political and economic), search for rational and productive forms of cooperation are among...

Razumkov Centre: Pension system: Can Ukrainian pensions be saved?

With the deterioration of the wellbeing of the majority of the Ukrainian population caused by the Russian aggression, pensions acquire special relevance. The system of...

Razumkov Centre: Russia: living in a “negative reality”

Presumably, people always strive for a better life. All political ideologies since the American and French revolutions have emphasised the right of man to be...

Razumkov Centre: Ukraine’s Role and Place in the Future European and Euro-Atlantic Security Systems

Russia’s all-out war against Ukraine has changed the picture of the world, substantially accelerating crisis trends in the system of international relations established after the...

ECFR: Defend. Resist. Repeat: Ukraine’s lessons for European defence

By Hanna Shelest. Ukraine’s response to the Russian invasion holds vital lessons for the rest of Europe. Kyiv has placed cross-society resistance at the heart of...

U4U letter: A sustainable future for Ukraine – the new Marshall Plan

On 10 November, 2022, United for Ukraine (U4U) Network published an open letter calling for the drawing up of the Green Marshall Plan for Ukraine....

Razumkov Centre: Risks of losing US support? Minimal

The headlines this week are, of course, about the results of the midterm elections in the USA, and with that — economic, financial, and military...

New Europe Center: Putin’s peace talks ruse: why the West should listen to Ukraine

By Sergiy Solodkyy. Even though democratic governments worldwide support Ukraine’s position, which rejects the Kremlin’s ultimatums, politicians and private individuals continue to press Kyiv to...

Razumkov Centre: Operation “Caucasian Oil”, or Unprecedented Ruscist Crimes

Within less than a month, Russia carried out more than 100 targeted attacks on critical facilities of the Ukrainian energy system. In total, the aggressor...

Razumkov Centre: Recovery through external sector

Short-term changes in the accounts of foreign economic activity provide clear signals of the nearest prospects of the national economy. In our previous review of...

Razumkov Centre: Decarbonisation of the Ukrainian energy sector (economy): impact of the Russian aggression, ambitious goals and potential opportunities for Ukraine in the post-war period

The publication contains an informational and analytical report consisting of six chapters. In each section, the results of the study of various mechanisms of decarbonisation...

Razumkov Centre: Self-assessment of well-being: better than expected

It is not surprising that in wartime the welfare of households suffers a noticeable deterioration. Razumkov Centre, having considerable experience of public opinion polls in...

Centre for Economic Strategy: Ukrainian Economy In War Times: Business Defies The Bombs. October 2022

By Hlib Vyshlinsky (Executive Director), Maria Repko (Deputy Director), Yurii Gaidai (Senior Economist), Dmytro Goriunov (Senior Economist), Maksym Samoiliuk (Junior Economist). Read the full publication:...

Razumkov Centre: Are the risks of economic recession growing?

In one of our previous policy papers we pointed out the risks of a gradual but steady slide of the world’s leading economies into negative...

Atlantic Council: Russia’s war is making energy a new battlefield. What can the US and EU do about it?

By Nick Fouriezos. Below are some of the insights they gave into the unique challenges and solutions Europe faces in securing its energy independence, in a...

Brookings: History reveals how to get Ukraine reconstruction right: anti-corruption

By Lilly Blumenthal, Caleb Seamon, Norman Eisen, and Robin J. Lewis. While there is currently no clear end in sight to ongoing Russian military aggression...

CSIS: Modernizing Ukraine’s Transport and Logistics Infrastructure

With the destruction comes a rare opportunity to modernize Ukraine’s economy by building state-of-the-art infrastructure. Rebuilding hospitals, schools, and housing will be critical to bringing...

CSIS: Ukraine Economic Reconstruction Commission: Interim Framework

By Daniel F. Runde and Conor M. Savoy. Ukraine’s future economic reconstruction depends on attracting private sector investment now. The CSIS Ukraine Economic Reconstruction Commission...

International Working Group on Russian Sanctions: Working Group Paper #6 “Why and How to Confiscate Russia’s Sovereign Assets to Help Rebuild Ukraine”

The principle is clear: Russia ought to pay substantial reparations to Ukraine after this horrific and senseless war. The moral and practical answer is clear....

GLOBSEC: Sanctions and Active Financial Measures – Another Front of the War against Ukraine

By Juraj Kuruc. There is nothing novel about economic sanctions nor the use of “soft power” as a propaganda tool. The novelty in the West’s...

GLOBSEC: Ukrainian Economy at War: State of Play and Pathways Towards Recovery

By Yaroslav Zhalilo, Zoriana Mishchuk, Andrii Chubyk, Iryna Kosse, Roman Vlasenko. Ukraine successfully coped with the first shock after the large-scale invasion of Russia. As...

Atlantic Council: How the Ukraine war has affected the MENA region’s pursuit of governance reform

By Alissa Pavia and Lorenzo Fruganti. The geopolitical transformations of the last decade, combined with knock-on effects of the war in Ukraine, are impacting Middle...

Proposal to establish a Special Tribunal for the Punishment of the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine

Eight years ago, in February 2014, Ukraine became the victim of acts of aggression committed by Russia’s President Putin in a blatant denial of the foundational principle of the prohibition of the use of force against political independence and territorial integrity of another State and the right of all peoples to freely determine their political status and freely pursue their economic, social and cultural development. On 24 February 2022, Putin’s Russia launched a large-scale war of aggression against Ukraine.

Doug Klain: Memo to Elon Musk: Only Ukrainian victory can stop Vladimir Putin

Doug Klain for the Atlantic Council. Ukraine should get real and agree to a ceasefire with Russia. An uncomfortable peace is better than continuing this...

Doug Klain: Mobilization Can’t Save Russia’s War

Doug Klain for Foreign Policy. Six months after Russian President Vladimir Putin pledged that his “special military operation” to eradicate the Ukrainian nation wouldn’t require...

Carnegie: Russia’s Elites Are Starting to Admit the Possibility of Defeat

By Tatiana Stanovaya. The longer the conflict rages and the more resources the Russian regime throws into the furnace of war, the more isolated Putin may...

Atlantic Council: Russia has again tried to change Europe’s borders by force. What’s next?

Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed treaties to begin the formal (and illegal) annexation of occupied parts of Ukraine’s Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions—an...

Atlantic Council: Russia’s military isn’t ready for an escalation. Ukraine and its partners can exploit that

By Irina Plaks. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to mobilize hundreds of thousands of Russian reserves this month will almost certainly exacerbate internal divisions within...

International Working Group on Russian Sanctions: Working Group Paper #5 “The Case for Designating the Russian Federation as a State Sponsor of Terrorism”

The Action Plan on Strengthening Sanctions against the Russian Federation outlined a comprehensive list of sanctions in many sectors as well as on a wide...

Atlantic Council: The economic response that can match Putin’s escalation in Ukraine

By Brian O’Toole and Daniel Fried. While Western nations have remained largely united in punishing Putin with economic measures, there is much more to be...

FORUM 2000: A Democratic Roadmap for Ukraine

By Richard Youngs. As the international community begins lifting its collective gaze to this horizon, a sequenced roadmap is needed to guide support for Ukraine....

Centre for Economic Strategy: Ukrainian economy in war times. Investments desperately seeking cover. September 2022

By Hlib Vyshlinsky (Executive Director), Maria Repko (Deputy Director), Yurii Gaidai (Senior Economist), Dmytro Goriunov (Senior Economist), Maksym Samoiliuk (Junior Economist). Read the full publication.

Atlantic Council: The EU’s Russia visa ban debate reveals the bloc’s new power center

By Petr Tůma. In its response to the crisis provoked by Russia, the European Union (EU) has often broken with the past by overcoming its...

Atlantic Council: Six months, twenty-three lessons: what the world has learned from Russia’s war in Ukraine

When it was first launched in the wee hours of February 24, the Kremlin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine was supposed to last just a few...

The West should not fear the prospect of a post-Putin Russia

By Richard D. Hooker, Jr. As the Ukrainian army continues to liberate land from Russian occupation, a new narrative is beginning to take hold. It argues...

Atlantic Council: FAST THINKING: What to make of Putin’s nuclear threats

An escalation born of desperation. That’s the framing Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda offered today, during an Atlantic Council event on the sidelines of the UN...

DiXi: Green post-war reconstruction of Ukraine: vision and models (Summary)

This is a summary of the policy brief outlining the concept of green post-war reconstruction of Ukraine and possible implementation models. It suggests two green...

Natia Seskuria: Why the EU Should Ban Russian Tourists

Natia Seskuria for Foreign Policy. A visa ban won’t have the same impact as military aid to Kyiv, but it would send a strong message...

DiXi group: Proposals on enhancing the sanctions regime in response to the Russian military aggression against Ukraine (energy sector)

Energy revenues play a vital role for Russia in financing the war it has waged in Ukraine. Despite introducing an unprecedented amount of sanctions, which...

B4Ukraine: 200 days into Russia’s war on Ukraine: international businesses continue to fund it

Three-quarters of top-earning multinationals remain in Russia, even after 200 days of Russian aggression, war crimes, and mass atrocities against civilians in Ukraine. To date,...

DiXi: Position paper on the draft recovery plan: currently the document does not look like the Ukrainian Green Deal

The Integration of Sustainable Development in Ukraine in Accordance with the European Green Deal (EGD) Project closely monitors the progress with the development of the...

Razumkov Centre: Signs of Stabilisation?

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. In Ukraine, the results of surveys among company heads and top managers about the performance and expectations of their enterprises are presented...

Razumkov Centre: Comments on macroeconomic forecast

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. Presenting the macroeconomic forecast of the country in the conditions of the war and lack of adequate statistical information seems quite risky,...

Atlantic Council: How Turkey can play a more constructive role in Russia’s war on Ukraine

By Yevgeniya Gaber. During the early days of the Kremlin’s war against Ukraine, Turkey earned well-deserved praise from both Kyiv and its Western allies for...

Razumkov Centre: Silver bullet for the Russian Federation and Crimea. What awaits Ukraine in the coming months?

By Oleksiy Melnyk. The geography of our international support is expanding. Judging by the number of countries that joined the Crimean Platform forum a week...

Razumkov Centre: Attitudes and assessments of Ukrainian refugees (July–August 2022)

Online poll among Ukrainian citizens who left Ukraine due to Russian aggression. The poll was held by the Razumkov Centre Sociological Service on July 20–August 25,...

Razumkov Centre: Is expensive dollar bad for Ukraine?

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. After two decades of fluctuations, US dollar finally reached parity with euro. Of course, the situation with the dollar that equalled the...

Razumkov Centre: Transformation of accents

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. As we already noted in our previous publications, the struggle of Ukraine speeded up the formation of two civilisational groups — democratic...

Atlantic Council: The war in Ukraine is an opportunity to upgrade the transatlantic architecture. Here’s how

By Ira Straus. Six months in, Russia’s war on Ukraine has prompted unprecedented unity among the transatlantic allies. This cohesion has been admirable, but it should...

Razumkov Centre: Socio-economic and humanitarian consequences of Russian aggression for Ukrainian society

This edition presents an analytical report, which focuses on the study of the socio-economic consequences of the war, which the citizens of Ukraine suffer from,...

Razumkov Centre: Ukrainian refugees at the border: the first experience of communication (March-May, 2022)

The war in Ukraine has led to an outbreak of one of the fastest-growing crises of forced displacement of the population, termed by the UN...

Razumkov Centre: Ukraine: from countering aggression to recovery and development

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn, Through its courageous fight for independence, Ukraine has accelerated global awareness of the priorities of human development and the importance of protecting...

Razumkov Centre: A Renewed Global Bipolarity?

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. Globalisation, accelerated since early 1990s, collapse of the world socialist system, economic growth of emerging countries seemed to have destroyed the bipolar...

Razumkov Centre: A new Ukraine in the post-war world

By Mykola Sunhurovskyi. Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine has significantly changed the picture of the world and will bring tectonic shifts in the perception of...

Centre for Economic Strategy: Ukrainian economy in war times: Warm enough for the cold season? August 2022

By Hlib Vyshlinsky (Executive Director), Maria Repko (Deputy Director), Yurii Gaidai (Senior Economist), Dmytro Goriunov (Senior Economist), Maksym Samoiliuk (Junior Economist). Read the full publication...

Michael Hikari Cecire: It’s Time to Throw NATO’s Door Wide Open

By Michael Hikari Cecire for Foreign Policy. In late August, I wrote an argument for ForeignPolicy.com with the basic premise that, historically, NATO was never...

Razumkov Centre: The “Soviet way” will finally die out only now

By Mykhailo Mischenko. The official Russian social mythology, which is based on the idea of ​​”returning everything” and authoritarianism, in its development “stumbled over Ukraine”...

Razumkov Centre: Forward into the past, or Some features of the new foreign policy concept of the Russian Federation

By Mykhailo Pashkov. In the beginning of August, “Mezhdunarodnaya Zhizn” magazine published a programme article “Lessons of History and Image of the Future: Reflections on...

Razumkov Centre: Confrontation of two big economies: Ukrainian implications

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. The author analyses current interaction and rivalry between the two big Asian and global economies — Chinese and Japanese — also from...

Razumkov Centre: Taiwan is not Ukraine

By Vasyl Yurchyshyn. Probably, the most common phrase of recent weeks was “Taiwan is not Ukraine”, necessarily followed by the comparison of scenarios of the...

Razumkov Centre: General Overview of the Humanitarian Situation in Ukraine

Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine caused a rapid increase in humanitarian needs and a humanitarian crisis, the consequences of which are devastating for Ukraine’s population....

Olivier Dupuis: The rails of war: An EU railway initiative for the defence of Ukraine

By Olivier Dupuis. The Ukrainian authorities recently launched a call for proposals to improve the country’s defence capabilities. Here is one that we believe could...

Atlantic Council: Moscow shattered two illusions with one missile strike. The White House needs to accept reality.  

By John E. Herbst. Some illusions die hard; others have a short shelf life. Moscow’s July 23 attack on port facilities in Odesa—which came less than...

Atlantic Council: Grain drain: Why Turkey can’t afford to ignore Russian grain smuggling from Ukraine

By Yevgeniya Gaber. The world’s attention turned to Turkey last week as it hosted a signing ceremony of a long-awaited United Nations (UN)-backed deal in...

Razumkov Centre: Association agreement with the EU in khaki

By Mykhailo Pashkov. Volodymyr Zelenskyy said: “The Association Agreement between Ukraine and the EU has already been implemented by 63%, and 37% of objectives is...

Atlantic Council: Ukraine can feed the world again. But at what cost?

The world’s breadbasket is back. Russia and Ukraine signed separate deals with the United Nations and Turkey in Istanbul today that will unblock commercial exports...

Centre for Economic Strategy: Ukrainian economy in war times: stars from the bottom of a well. July 2022

By Hlib Vyshlinsky (Executive Director), Maria Repko (Deputy Director), Yurii Gaidai (Senior Economist), Dmytro Goriunov (Senior Economist), Maksym Samoiliuk (Junior Economist). Read the full publication...

Razumkov Centre: The Wholesale Electricity Market in Wartime

By Svitlana Chekunova. Unjustified Russian invasion of Ukraine had severe impact on the wholesale electricity market. Since the beginning of the war, there has been...

Atlantic Council: Four (updated) ways the war in Ukraine might end

By Barry Pavel, Peter Engelke, and Jeffrey Cimmino. It’s the war that was both eminently predictable and roundly unpredicted. If ever there has been a conflict...

Olena Uvarova: Responsible business conduct in times of war: implications for essential goods and services providers in Ukraine

By Olena Uvarova. Access to essential goods and services during war is critical. In many cases, people’s lives depend on it. The subject introduces many...

Atlantic Council: Why Russia’s economy is more resilient than you might think

By Josh Lipsky. Since Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine, the United States and Europe have deployed tools of economic warfare with the explicit goal of...

Atlantic Council: Can price caps on Russian oil tame the Kremlin? Our experts debate

By Edward Fishman, Brian O’Toole, Mark Mozur, Charles Lichfield. While the United States is pushing for a price cap, consensus is further off than it may...

Atlantic Council: Sanctioning Russia is a long game. Here’s how to win

By Brian O’Toole, and Daniel Fried. While military support remains the critical pillar of Western policy, especially in the short term, economic pressure is key...

Atlantic Council: FAST THINKING: The EU gives Ukraine a shot at membership. What’s next for Kyiv?

Will they join the club? Ukrainians breathed a sigh of relief on Thursday after the European Union’s twenty-seven leaders unanimously approved Ukraine’s (and neighboring Moldova’s)...

International Working Group on Russian Sanctions: Working Group Paper #4 “Strengthening Financial Sanctions against the Russian Federation”

The importance of financial sanctions reflects Russia’s dependency on the Western financial system, in particular on Western reserve currencies, as backing for the ruble, and...

The Balkan Turtle Race – a warning for Ukraine

There is one process – the EU accession process – and it has one goal: membership. However, all European democracies that meet the criteria to join, including respect for human rights and the rule of law, as assessed by the European Commission in its annual reports, should gain full access to the European Single Market and to the four freedoms – the free movement of goods, people, services and capital.

Ukraine, Europe and a second Treaty of Rome

In the newsletter of the European Stability Initiative, it is argued that in the light of the current developments and concerns, there still is a way for Ukraine for the EU membership. Ukraine should be granted a candidate status and have open accession talks now.

Centre for Economic Strategy: Ukrainian economy in war times: Looking for a new equilibrium, June 2022

By Hlib Vyshlinsky (Executive Director), Maria Repko (Deputy Director), Yurii Gaidai (Senior Economist), Dmytro Goriunov (Senior Economist), Oleksandra Kolomiets (Senior Economist), Maksym Samoiliuk (Junior Economist)....

International Working Group on Russian Sanctions: Working Group Paper #3 “Individual Sanctions Roadmap: Recommendations for Sanctions against the Russian Federation”

As a follow-up to our first Action Plan and our second working paper on energy-related sanctions, this third working paper sets out more detailed proposals...

Frozen Russian Assets and the Reconstruction of Ukraine: Legal Options

This paper is based on a workshop that brought together a group of academics, practitioners and civil society groups specialising in sanctions, asset confiscation and...

Atlantic Council: Three possible futures for a frozen conflict in Ukraine

By Mathew Burrows and Robert A. Manning. It’s the war that was both eminently predictable and roundly unpredicted. If ever there has been a conflict that...

Anton Korynevich. Proposal to create a Special Tribunal for the Punishment of the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine

Eighty years after representatives of nine nations signed in London a declaration that laid foundations for the punishment of those responsible for crimes against peace, crimes against humanity and war crimes perpetrated during World War II, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine H.E. Mr. Dmytro Kuleba officially requests the establishment of the Special Tribunal for the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine.

Centre for Economic Strategy: Ukrainian economy in war times: Facing new reality, May 2022

By Hlib Vyshlinsky (Executive Director), Maria Repko (Deputy Director), Yurii Gaidai (Senior Economist), Dmytro Goriunov (Senior Economist), Oleksandra Kolomiets (Senior Economist), Maksym Samoiliuk (Junior Economist)....

Atlantic Council: Help Ukraine now, and it could power Europe later

By Maxim Timchenko. But as the head of Ukraine’s largest private energy provider, I’ve seen how Ukraine itself can play a vital role in a...

International Working Group on Russian Sanctions: Working Group Paper #2 “Energy Sanctions Roadmap: Recommendations for Sanctions against the Russian Federation”

The paper sets out proposals for immediate European action to reduce Russia’s oil and gas revenues rapidly, combined with longer-term actions to eliminate Russian oil...

An Independent legal analysis of the Russian Federation’s Breaches of the Genocide Convention in Ukraine and the Duty to Prevent

New Lines Institute For Strategy and Policy together with the Raoul Wallenberg Centre for Human Rights published a report that comprises an independent inquiry into...

Open Society Justice Initiative: Model Indictment for the Crime of Aggression Committed against Ukraine

This model indictment is of Russian President Vladimir Putin and six other senior Russian officials involved in the initiation, planning, preparation, and execution of acts...

International Working Group on Russian Sanctions: Working Group Paper #1 “Action Plan on Strengthening Sanctions against the Russian Federation”

This paper contains suggestions for strengthening U.S., European, and global sanctions against Russia and Belarus that could be implemented immediately. It is the first of...

Centre for Economic Strategy: Ukrainian economy in war times: rapid assessment, April 2022

By Hlib Vyshlinsky (Executive Director), Maria Repko (Deputy Director), Yurii Gaidai (Senior Economist), Dmytro Goriunov (Senior Economist), Oleksandra Kolomiets (Senior Economist), Maksym Samoiliuk (Junior Economist)....

Can the EU afford to ban Russian oil and gas imports?

Hosted by MEP Luis Garicano (Renew), a workshop was held in the European Parliament with the aim to find out what effects a ban of...

Acts committed by the Russian troops in Ukraine are qualified as the international crime of genocide

Several legal analyses provide arguments that acts committed by the Russian troops in Ukraine are qualified as the international crime of genocide.   Legal analysis...

A Blueprint for the Reconstruction of Ukraine

A Blueprint for the Reconstruction of Ukraine, by Torbjörn Becker, Barry Eichengreen, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Sergei Guriev, Simon Johnson, Tymofiy Mylovanov, Kenneth Rogoff and Beatrice Weder...

VoxEU: Cutting Russia’s fossil fuel exports: Short-term pain for long-term gain

By Maksym Chepeliev  Thomas W Hertel  Dominique van der Mensbrugghe. In response to the invasion of Ukraine, most OECD countries have announced punishing sanctions against...